2026-09 · Covering 2025-08 – 2026-08
Executive Summary
This issue analyzes 44 contracted luxury rental transactions (¥500,000/month and above) across Tokyo's 23 wards in August 2026, sourced from Real Estate Information Network Systems, Japan's designated real estate transaction database. Because this dataset reflects signed leases rather than asking prices, it offers a more accurate read of where the market is actually clearing, rather than where landlords hope it will. Two records this issue — a ¥5.05M/month studio in Suginami-ku and a ¥1.65M/month unit in Nakano-ku, both wildly inconsistent with their building type and surrounding area — were excluded as data entry errors rather than genuine transactions.
Minato-ku again dominated volume, accounting for 17 of 44 contracts (39%) at a median monthly rent of ¥760,000, followed by Shibuya-ku with 13 contracts (30%) at a median of ¥608,000 — together the two wards made up nearly 70% of this month's activity. No other ward reached the 5-contract reliability threshold: Setagaya-ku (3), Shinagawa-ku, Shinjuku-ku, Chuo-ku and Nakano-ku (2 apiece), and Meguro-ku, Toshima-ku and Kita-ku (1 each) rounded out the remaining volume. The top of the market was a tie: Shiroyama Trust Court in Minato-ku's Toranomon (163.96㎡, 3LDK) and Rije Yoyogi-Uehara Terrace in Shibuya-ku (130.74㎡, 2LDK) both contracted at ¥1.5M/month, though the latter's smaller footprint means a meaningfully richer ¥11,475/㎡ versus ¥9,148/㎡ for the former. Separately, a 23.00㎡ studio at a 1988-built building in Kita-ku's Oji contracted at ¥640,000/month (¥27,826/㎡) — an extreme outlier for a compact, older unit that we flag rather than fold into the ward's typical pricing.
Key observation: August 2026 median contracted rent came in at ¥655,000 — down 10.9% month-over-month from July's ¥735,000, and down 3.7% year-over-year vs. August 2025 (¥680K). Contract volume moved the other way, up 10% from July (40 → 44) though still down 2.2% year-over-year (45 → 44). Notably, median ¥/㎡ actually rose to ¥8,200 (+7.4% MoM) even as headline rent fell, alongside a slight compression in median unit size (~97.5㎡ vs. 100.4㎡ in July) — the lower headline figure looks more like a shift toward smaller units than a genuine same-size repricing lower.
Market Data
All figures represent contracted (成約) rents of ¥500,000/month or above, cleaned of properties without floor area data and entries inconsistent with a monthly rental figure.
| Month | n | Median | Max | ¥/㎡ | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2025 | 45 | ¥680K | ¥2.3M | ¥8,411 | 92.7㎡ |
| Sep 2025 | 61 | ¥695K | ¥3M | ¥8,154 | 93.6㎡ |
| Oct 2025 | 46 | ¥750K | ¥2.4M | ¥9,537 | 87.4㎡ |
| Nov 2025 | 51 | ¥770K | ¥2.5M | ¥8,564 | 100.7㎡ |
| Dec 2025 | 58 | ¥680K | ¥3M | ¥8,903 | 86.8㎡ |
| Jan 2026 | 39 | ¥628K | ¥1.5M | ¥9,389 | 85㎡ |
| Feb 2026 | 63 | ¥675K | ¥2.4M | ¥9,142 | 92㎡ |
| Mar 2026 | 66 | ¥740K | ¥2.4M | ¥9,984 | 94㎡ |
| Apr 2026 | 53 | ¥674K | ¥4M | ¥9,039 | 89㎡ |
| May 2026 | 41 | ¥700K | ¥1.6M | ¥8,765 | 87㎡ |
| Jun 2026 | 52 | ¥670K | ¥3.6M | ¥9,289 | 90㎡ |
| Jul 2026 | 40 | ¥735K | ¥3.3M | ¥7,633 | 100.4㎡ |
| Aug 2026 | 44 | ¥655K | ¥1.5M | ¥8,200 | 97.5㎡ |
Market Data
Volume and pricing by ward, ranked by number of contracts. August 2026 alone produced only 44 qualifying contracts, too thin a sample to report most wards reliably — so this table uses a trailing three-month window (June–August 2026, 136 contracts) instead. Wards with fewer than 5 contracts across the window are excluded for statistical reliability.
| Ward | n | Median | Max | ¥/㎡ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minato-ku | 61 | ¥850,000 | ¥3.3M | ¥8,792 |
| Shibuya-ku | 26 | ¥655,000 | ¥1.5M | ¥8,060 |
| Chuo-ku | 10 | ¥590,000 | ¥750,000 | ¥6,044 |
| Chiyoda-ku | 7 | ¥600,000 | ¥1.65M | ¥6,194 |
| Shinjuku-ku | 7 | ¥560,000 | ¥1.35M | ¥5,828 |
| Meguro-ku | 6 | ¥650,000 | ¥1.8M | ¥6,009 |
| Setagaya-ku | 5 | ¥543,000 | ¥630,000 | ¥5,012 |
Market Data
Buildings appearing most frequently across the trailing twelve months (September 2025–August 2026), indicating high turnover or large unit counts.
| Building | Ward | n |
|---|---|---|
| World Tower Residence | Minato-ku | 18 |
| Azabu Dai-ichi Mansions | Minato-ku | 15 |
| Mita Garden Hills South Hill | Minato-ku | 14 |
| Mita Garden Hills North Hill | Minato-ku | 14 |
| Mita Garden Hills East Hill | Minato-ku | 13 |
| Millennium Garden Court | Chiyoda-ku | 10 |
| Hiroo Garden Hills M-tou | Shibuya-ku | 9 |
| Park Tower Nishi-Shinjuku | Shinjuku-ku | 8 |
| Aoyama Dai-ichi Mansions | Minato-ku | 8 |
| Grand Hills Ebisu | Shibuya-ku | 8 |
| Park Court Jingu-Kitasando The Tower | Shibuya-ku | 8 |
| Mita Garden Hills West Hill | Minato-ku | 8 |
Note: the Mita Garden Hills complex — split across four registered sub-buildings (North / East / South / West Hill) plus the separately-registered Park Mansion — collectively logged 56 contracts over the trailing 12 months, which would rank it well ahead of every other entry above if counted as a single address.
Methodology
Source: Real Estate Information Network Systems, Japan's designated real estate transaction database operated under the country's real estate brokerage law, accessed via TokyoExpat's industry membership.
Scope: All contracted (成約) rental transactions of ¥500,000/month or above, Tokyo Metropolis. No ward restriction applied.
Limitations: This is a transaction-count sample, not a comprehensive census. Wards with fewer than 5 contracts in a given period carry low statistical reliability.